Pakistan | The History
Pakistan became an independent nation on August 14, 1947, when British India gained independence from British rule. Although founded on democratic principles, Pakistan’s political history had been tumultuous and half of its short life was under military rule. When Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif was deposed by General Musharraf in a 1999 military coup, Pakistan was on the verge of bankruptcy and in danger of becoming a failed state. Between 2000 and 2007, Pakistan’s per capita GNI grew from $480 to $800 and its GDP growth rate went from 4.9% to 6.9%.
Venture capital (VC) | The Industry
Venture capital (VC) is a form of private equity and a type of financing that investors provide to startup companies and small businesses that are believed to have long-term growth potential. However, it can also be risky for investors who put up funds, the potential for above-average returns is an attractive payoff. For startup companies or ventures that have a limited operating history, venture capital is an essential source for raising money, especially if they lack access to capital markets, bank loans, or other debt instruments. Venture capital is a subset of private equity that can be traced back to the 19th century after World War II.
ePlanet Capital | The VC Company
ePlanet Capital is a venture capital company that provides venture capital for telecom, media, and technology companies. It was founded in 1999, in California, United States by Asad Jamal and Tim Draper. As of January 2020, the company has made 39 exits 86 investments, and over 99 companies from Baidu in China to Virgin Mobile in Latin America.
The Contemplation | Maximize Profits & Minimize Risks
Now, we know what ePlanet Capital was doing. Let's discuss the decision on its investment. Should ePlanet be one of the first VC entrants into the Pakistani market? The shortest words, yes or no, are those which require the most thought. Generally, venture capital companies are all trying to maximize their return on investment and minimize the risks at the same time. In this case, Asad was considering the risks and also did not want to lose the opportunity if it was a big one. Adobe and Qualcomm had already invested in Pakistani companies, and ePlanet had the opportunity to make its first investment.
Maximize Profits | Opportunity I
To maximize the profit on this investment, Asad has to understand the scale of the market companies were targeting. According to the Pakistan Software Export Board, as of 2006, Pakistan was the 6th most populous country in the world with an increasingly empowered middle class whose needs were starting to resemble those of the West, from basic things such as access to satellite TV and the Internet. These factors mean great demand and opportunities. It was an evolving market that business owners do not want to miss. As a venture capital, ePlanet Capital was able to gain profits by providing startup companies or other small businesses desire to build their empires with capital before they file for IPO. Recall the demand and supply model we learned in economics theories, ePlanet Capital is the supplier that supplies startup companies and other small businesses, the demanders, with capital. Unlike typical businesses that supply products or services, ePlanet Capital's major clients are businesses that want to provide products or services. The more small companies came to ePlanet for capital means more demands, and more demands will increase the prices. In this case, the prices are the return ratio and the profits.
Maximize Profits | Opportunity II
Since 2002, Pakistan had seen strong GDP growth, averaging around 7% per year, an attractive number compare to developed countries which are around 2% per year. In addition, aggressive tax policies, restructured public enterprise, and banking sectors stimulated growth and resulted in a consumer boom. Moreover, Pakistan's policy trends of liberalization and deregulation appeared to have had an impact, according to the World Bank's Doing Business 2008 report.
Maximize Profits | Opportunity III
The introduction of the Private Equity and Venture Capital Funds Act of 2007 also provided an enabling regulatory environment for the capital markets, making it easier for funds outside of Pakistan to invest in the country with full protection as well as providing full tax exemption until 2014.
Maximize Profits | Opportunity IV
The world was now a global village, particularly in the consumer Internet/web 2.0 space, many distance issues were now almost moot. For example, by promoting its product through YouTube, Scrybe demonstrated that it did not matter that it was located in a leafy suburb of Islamabad; it had wanted 5,000 users for its beta, yet it got close to 100,000. Naseeb Networks located in Lahore had hundreds of thousands of users.
Minimize Risks | Threats I
To minimize the risks, Asad has to research the weakness and threats of this investment. Although Pakistan had been politically stable and even prosperous since 2000, it was still uncertain whether the political turmoil was around the corner or not. Politically, whether enough had been done to make Pakistan’s economy sustainable and able to weather any upheaval still remains unidentified.
Minimize Risks | Threats I
Venture capitals generally look at the bigger picture and the long-term success of their investment. Therefore, Asad was concerned with the ability to scale. Mass production, expansion, and hiring more and more employees when a company trying to grow, were where the challenge lay. If you own a cafe', you probably spend all of your time there. However, if you own a coffee chain like Starbucks, which runs more than 32,000 stores in 80 countries, the management would be very different. Nonetheless, the common belief was that trusted management was hard to come by in Pakistan, and therefore the culture was still one of the family-owned businesses with limited professional management. It would be impossible to scale new ventures without addressing this issue.
Minimize Risks | Threats II
Economic activity takes place when resources such as capital goods, labor, manufacturing techniques, or intermediary products are combined to produce specific goods or services. Therefore, infrastructure is always a crucial factor in economic activities. The unreliable supply of electricity, water, and other utilities, meant companies had to build redundant systems into their infrastructure, which would be costly.
Maximize Profits | Strength I
There is a voluntary non-profit organization, The Organization for Pakistani Entrepreneurs (OPEN), formed by a group of U.S.-Pakistani entrepreneurs at MIT in 1998 to facilitate and encourage the growth of Pakistani entrepreneurs and professionals. It provided networking and enhanced business opportunities for entrepreneurs and professionals in the high-tech, energy, and life sciences fields. In addition, this organization collaborates with the MIT Entrepreneurship Center to actively educate Pakistani-based entrepreneurs.
Maximize Profits | Strength II
Ultimately, venture capitals all want to take their anticipated profits and move on to the next projects. An efficient capital market such as the stock market is helpful. The Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) was the biggest and most liquid exchange in Pakistan and was declared to be the Best Performing Stock Market in the World by Business Week in the year 2002.
Maximize Profits | Strength III
In the technology space alone, Pakistani universities were producing upwards of 20,000 English-speaking graduates per year. These young technically trained graduates started turning to new horizons.
Minimize Risks | Weakness I
There were only three Pakistani companies listed on the London Stock Exchange, but none of them were technology companies. No Pakistani companies as yet had been listed on NASDAQ or any of the other U.S. exchanges. There are relatively fewer experiences and successful examples to encourage and stimulate new startups.
Minimize Risks | Weakness II
Given the political concerns in the country, if a business is based on outsourcing and 90% of its clientele is abroad, there would be big trouble when the exports and imports policies or regulations be changed. Whereas if a business is domestically-focused, it can continue to thrive despite the political situation but it would somewhat limit itself to one country.
Now, if we combine all these reflections, it would become the SWOT Analysis that outlined the Strength, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats, for Asad to make the decision.
Strategic Choice I | Ignore the distance & focus on the potential
In Asad's opinion, the distance was an element of the shortsightedness that prevailed in the VC industry. The world was now a global village and, particularly in the consumer Internet/web 2.0 space, this distance issue was now almost moot. By promoting its product through YouTube, Scrybe demonstrated that it did not matter that it was located in a leafy suburb of Islamabad.
Strategic Choice II | Ally and Networks
The OPEN provided networking and enhanced business opportunities for entrepreneurs and professionals in the high-tech, energy, and life sciences fields. By collaborating with the MIT Entrepreneurship Center and actively educating Pakistani-based entrepreneurs, Asad was able to discover more opportunities.
Strategic Choice III | Learn from the successful examples
With India, China, and Dubai on Pakistan’s doorstep, Asad was reassured somewhat. Pakistan traditionally had strong relations with China and the UAE, and his gut told him Pakistani businesses would be well received in those regions, as long as the product offerings were of high-enough quality. Pakistan was a seething cauldron of opportunity and potentially the next frontier for technology-based entrepreneurship. China had been done. India had been done.
Strategic Choice III | Cultural
Due to its historical, geographical, and ethnic diversity, Pakistan’s culture is a melting pot of Indian, Persian, Afghan, Central Asian, South Asian, and Western Asian influences. Family comes first in Pakistan due to religious, cultural, economic, and societal values. Pakistani society is not led by individualism but rather by collectivism, where family and other relationships stand strong. Although there were logical business considerations for investing in Pakistan, such as a large market, cost-base, and talent, in addition to reasons based on cultural or family connections, expats used to the work culture of the US or Europe may struggle slightly to do the way of doing business in Pakistan. As mentioned earlier, trusted management was hard to come by in Pakistan, and therefore the culture was still one of the family-owned businesses with limited professional management. It would be impossible to scale new ventures without addressing this issue. However, the empowerment of a growing middle class and a trend for overseas Pakistanis to return home led Asad to believe that this problem would be resolved eventually.
Strategic Choice III | Political
Historically, Pakistan had been politically stable and even prosperous since 2000, albeit under a military dictatorship. Asad feared that political turmoil was around the corner and he doubted whether enough had been done to make Pakistan’s economy sustainable and able to weather any upheaval. Strategically, he has the right concern. Political stability would largely influence economic development, especially in developing like Pakistan.
Taiwan | Political & Semiconductor Industry
Finally, similar to Pakistan’s experience, Taiwan also has its political concern due to the military threat from China. Even though it was a great market and opportunity, this kind of threat did destroy many international investors' interests. Moreover, the Taiwanese semiconductor industry, including IC manufacturing, design, and packing, forms a major part of Taiwan's IT industry. Due to its strong capabilities in OEM wafer manufacturing and a complete industry supply chain, Taiwan has been able to distinguish itself from its competitors and dominate the global marketplace. But, it wasn't always so painless.
In the early 1970s, Taiwan was struggling on its way to success. Events such as withdrawing from the United Nations and breaking formal relations with China and Japan. In the meantime, the whole world was in a recession, and Taiwan was greatly affected. At this time, Taiwan decided to invest in the semiconductor industry by introducing semiconductor design and manufacturing technology from the United States. During this period, the semiconductor industry gathered expats in the United States to set up a Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) to provide technical direction and consultation. In 1980, the government established the Science Park to introduce science and technology talents. In 1981, under the leadership of the Institute of Electronics, Industrial Technology Research Institute, United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) was established, which was a joint investment of the government and private capital. The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) was established by the Institute of Electronics in 1987 to enhance the private integrated circuit manufacturing capacity. TSMC is the world's first professional wafer foundry, and its establishment represents the emergence of a new division of labor in the semiconductor industry.
References
Gulwani, N. (2017, December 23). 13 things you should know about Pakistani culture. Culture Trip. Retrieved May 13, 2022, from https://theculturetrip.com/asia/pakistan/articles/13-things-you-should-know-about-pakistani-culture/
Hayes, A. (2022, March 24). What is venture capital? Investopedia. Retrieved May 11, 2022, from https://www.investopedia.com/terms/v/venturecapital.asp
Pakistan: A Story of Technology, Entrepreneurs and Global Networks, a case study by Sabir, S., Aidrus, T., & Bird, S., pages 1-13.