Here are annual values for M2 and for nominal GDP (all figures are in billions of dollars) for the mid-1990s.
Year M2 Nominal GDP
1993 3,482.0 $6,657.4
1994 3,498.1 $7,072.2
1995 3,642.1 $7,397.7
1996. 3,820.5 $7,816.9
1997 4,034.1 $8,304.3
1. Compute the velocity for each year.
According to the equation of exchange in the textbook, the relationship between money supply, velocity, and nominal GDP can express like the equation below:
Suppose that the M=money supply=M2, V=velocity, then
MV = nominal GDP
V = (nominal GDP)/M
So, the velocity each year on the list will be:
Year. Velocity
1993 6,657.4/3,482.0 = 1.912
1994. 7,072.2/3,498.1 = 2.022
1995 7,397.7/3,642.1 = 2.031
1996 7,816.9/3,820.5 = 2.046
1997 8,304.3/4,034.1 = 2.059
2. Compute the fraction of nominal GDP that was being held as money.
According to the textbook, the equation of exchange can express the demand for money as a percentage, given by 1/V, of nominal GDP. With a velocity of V, for example, people wish to hold a quantity of money equal to 1/V of nominal GDP.
So, the velocity each year on the list will be:
Year. Being Held
1993 (6,657.4)*(1/1.912)=3481.90
1994. (7,072.2)*(1/2.022)=3497.63
1995 (7,397.7)*(1/2.031)=3642.39
1996 (7,816.9)*(1/2.046)=3820.58
1997 (8,304.3)*(1/2.059)=4033.17
3. What is your conclusion about the stability of velocity in this five-year period?
In this case, during the five-year period, the stability of velocity might due to the stability of the interest rate. People do not like to hold something that expected to lose their value. The interest rate will affect the extra money that people can earn from deposit it more. The reason for the stability of velocity is likely to be a stability of interest rate policy.
Another reason for this case is possibly the expectation of stability. The expectation of deflation or inflation will affect the money people want to hold, they can turn their money back really fast these days.
Here are annual values for M2 and for nominal GDP (all figures are in billions of dollars) for the mid-2000s.
Year. M2 Nominal GDP
2003 6,055.5 $10,960.8
2004 6,400.7 $11,685.9
2005 6,659.7 $12,421.9
2006 7,012.3 $13,178.4
2007 7,404.3 $13,807.5
1. Compute the velocity for each year.
Suppose that the M=money supply=M2, V=velocity, then
MV = nominal GDP
V = (nominal GDP)/M
So, the velocity each year on the list will be:
Year. Velocity
2003 10,960.8/6,055.5 = 1.810
2004. 11,685.9/6,400.7 = 1.826
2005 12,421.9/6,659.7 = 1.865
2006 13,178.4/7,012.3 = 1.879
2007 13,807.5/7,404.3 = 1.864
2. Compute the fraction of nominal GDP that was being held as money.
Year. Being Held
2003 (10,960.8)*(1/1.810)=6055.69
2004. (11,685.9)*(1/1.826)=6399.73
2005 (12,421.9)*(1/1.865)=6660.54
2006 (13,178.4)*(1/1.879)=7013.51
2007 (13,807.5)*(1/1.864)=7407.45
3. What is your conclusion about the stability of velocity in this five-year period?
In this five-year period, people hold more and more money. And in the short run, it is not reasonable to assume that velocity and output are constants. Due to the expectations of the interest rate, people adjust their holding to react to the condition. In this case, people are likely to expect that there are some reasons for them to increase their holdings.
Suppose the velocity of money is constant and potential output grows by 3% per year. By what percentage should the money supply grow in order to achieve the following inflation rate targets?
Suppose that :
%ΔM = the percentage rates of change in the money supply
%ΔP = the percentage rates of change in the price level
%ΔYp = the percentage rates of change in the real GDP(potential output)
%ΔM ≌ %ΔP + %ΔYp
%ΔP ≌ %ΔM - %ΔYp
If the velocity of money is constant and potential output grows by 3% per year
1. 0%
If the rate of inflation, %ΔP = 0% is our target, then
%0 ≌ %ΔM - 3%
%ΔM = 3%
The money supply should grow 3%, in order to achieve the inflation rate targets 0%
2. 1%
If the rate of inflation, %ΔP = 1% is our target, then
%1 ≌ %ΔM - 1%
%ΔM = 2%
The money supply should grow 2%, in order to achieve the inflation rate targets 1%
3. 2%
If the rate of inflation, %ΔP = 2% is our target, then
%2 ≌ %ΔM - 2%
%ΔM = 4%
The money supply should grow 4%, in order to achieve the inflation rate targets 2%
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